← Refinery/Stratum S5Weeks 6–12 · first twin runs by day 70Pressure 82

Simulate — Digital twins · Synthetic data · What-if

Simulate is your safe-to-fail laboratory. Run a year of pricing, policy or staffing experiments overnight — without touching a real customer or breaching a single privacy budget.

Scenario throughput

1,200×

Privacy budget (ε)

<1.0

Decision lift

+11–24%

Commission this stratum →See deliverables

Deliverables

Everything that ships

Customer / journey twin
Agent-based simulation calibrated on 24 months of behaviour.
Synthetic data generator
Differentially-private synthesis for dev, test and partners.
What-if engine
Scenario sweeps over price, policy, capacity, staffing.
Counterfactual ledger
Every decision stored with its alternative — for learning.
Pre-production sandbox
Production-grade twin for agent, pricing and ops experiments.

Pod composition

Simulation Scientist
Data Scientist
Domain SME

Example output · Scenario · price_test_q3json

{
  "twin": "uk_retail_v4",
  "horizon_days": 90,
  "levers": { "price_delta": "+3%", "promo_intensity": 0.7 },
  "outcomes": { "revenue": "+£2.1M", "churn": "+0.4pp", "margin": "+1.8pp" },
  "confidence": 0.86
}

Timeline

Weeks 6–12 · first twin runs by day 70

1
Weeks 6–8
Twin calibration
Fit twin on 24 months of behaviour; validate on hold-out.
2
Weeks 8–10
Synthetic + DP
Differentially-private synthesis for dev/test/partner shares.
3
Weeks 10–12
What-if engine
Sweep levers, store counterfactuals, surface decision lift.

FAQs

Things prospects ask

Is the synthetic data GDPR-safe to share?

Yes — differential-privacy ε < 1.0 by default with k-anonymity backstops; signed off by your DPO.

How accurate are the twins?

We report calibration error per cohort; typical lift attribution sits within ±3pp of A/B truth.

Commission · S5 Simulate

Stand up Simulate in Weeks 6–12.

We'll respond within one business day with a scoping note, a fixed-price outcome contract, and a named principal. Your details sync straight into our concierge queue.

• Outcome-priced — no T&M.
• Sovereign by default — your data, your region, your keys.
• Wired into the Fuel Pressure gauge from day one.